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Atiku’s border promise: Between political expediency and Nigeria’s national interest

Okey IBEKE

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar’s promise to reopen Nigeria’s land borders if elected president in 2027 may appeal to traders and border communities who depend on cross-border commerce.

But the promise raises a more important question: what exactly does he intend to reopen?

The Federal Government has challenged the premise of the proposal, insisting that Nigeria’s borders are not closed.

Minister of Interior, Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo, recalled that Seme, Illela, Maigatari and Mfum borders were reopened in December 2020, followed by Idiroko and Ikom for goods and services in April 2022.

The present administration also opened Kamba and Tsamiya borders in Kebbi State in February 2026.

Atiku reportedly made his promise on August 26th, 2026 while receiving a political support group in Abuja.

He said he would reopen the land borders and develop southern ports to boost trade if elected in 2027, arguing that restrictions had hurt legitimate trans-border commerce, contributed to business failures and pushed some young entrepreneurs into unemployment.

There is undoubtedly a case for making Nigeria’s border administration more efficient. Border communities depend on trade with neighbouring countries, while Nigerian businesses need access to regional markets.

Unnecessary delays, poor infrastructure, excessive bureaucracy and multiple checkpoints are already being addressed.

Legitimate traders should be able to move their goods without avoidable obstacles.
But legitimate trade is not the same as smuggling.

The fact that Nigerians have traded across these borders for generations does not, by itself, make every such activity lawful.

Trade is legitimate when it complies with the law: goods are brought through approved entry points, properly declared and documented, applicable duties and taxes are paid, and the relevant regulations are observed.

A trader who meets those requirements is engaged in legitimate commerce. Someone who avoids approved routes, conceals goods, evades duties or brings prohibited commodities into the country is smuggling, irrespective of how long the practice has existed.

This distinction matters because compliant businesses already bear the costs of operating within the law.

Importers and manufacturers pay duties, taxes, regulatory charges, transportation costs and other expenses.

Allowing competitors to evade those obligations gives the law-abiding businessman a disadvantage and distorts the market.

This is why the Nigeria Customs Service is simultaneously facilitating legitimate trade, protecting government revenue and enforcing import and export regulations.

Its growing use of automation, risk management and digital processing is aimed at reducing friction for compliant traders while improving the detection of suspicious transactions.

The sensible objective, therefore, is smarter border administration that makes lawful commerce easier without giving illicit trade room to flourish.

There is also a security dimension that any serious border policy must confront. Nigeria’s borders are vulnerable to the movement of arms, narcotics, trafficked persons and other illicit goods, while some restrictions have been imposed specifically because of terrorism and insecurity.

Tunji-Ojo made this point in responding to Atiku’s references to Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Benin.

He explained that the Banki and Amchidé crossings with Cameroon were closed in 2014 because of the Boko Haram insurgency, rather than because of the 2019 trade policy.

Some crossings were subsequently reopened following security and stabilisation efforts involving Nigeria and neighbouring countries.

That history makes it difficult to treat border management as simply a matter of removing economic restrictions.

A crossing that is commercially useful can also be exploited by criminal networks, making security considerations an unavoidable part of any decision to relax controls.

If Atiku’s proposal is to simplify documentation, improve infrastructure, eliminate unnecessary bureaucracy, strengthen regional trade and make it easier for legitimate small-scale traders to operate, then those objectives are difficult to oppose.

They are consistent with Nigeria’s efforts to deepen regional commerce under the African Continental Free Trade Area.

But if “reopening the borders” means changing the rules that distinguish legitimate commerce from illicit activity, Nigerians deserve to know.

Which controls would be removed? Which duties would change? Would Customs declarations remain compulsory? Would prohibited goods remain prohibited? How would legitimate businesses be protected from cheaper smuggled alternatives? And what safeguards would remain against the movement of arms, narcotics and other illicit commodities?

These questions are not technicalities. They are the substance of a credible border policy.

There is also an unmistakable political attraction in Atiku’s promise. With the 2027 election approaching, appealing directly to traders and border communities offers a politically convenient message: remove the restrictions and revive commerce.

But presidential policy cannot be reduced to what sounds attractive during an election campaign.

Atiku has every right to challenge the policies of the present administration and offer an alternative.

Indeed, criticism of government policy is an essential part of democratic politics. But a presidential candidate should also be expected to explain how his alternative would work, what it would cost and what safeguards would protect the wider national interest.

Nigeria needs more legitimate trade with its neighbours, not less. It needs better border infrastructure, faster clearance, simpler procedures and stronger regional integration.

None of these requires abandoning the government’s responsibility to regulate what enters the country.

The better approach is to make legitimate trade easier without making illegal trade easier.

That means technology-driven customs procedures, transparent documentation, efficient border infrastructure, predictable charges and risk-based inspections.

Traders who comply with the law should encounter fewer obstacles; those who deliberately evade it should not be allowed to gain an unfair advantage.

Atiku’s 2027 proposal should therefore be judged not by the emotional appeal of “reopening the borders” but by the policy behind the slogan.

If he believes the present system is unnecessarily restrictive, he should identify the specific restrictions he intends to remove.

If he believes legitimate border trade is being suffocated, he should explain how he would formalise and facilitate it without encouraging smuggling.

And if security controls are to be relaxed in particular areas, he should explain how the resulting risks would be managed.

That is the level of debate Nigerians should expect from someone seeking the presidency, especially one like him that was a very senior Customs officer.

The danger is that, in the rush to distinguish himself politically ahead of 2027, Atiku may be offering a simple answer to a problem that is anything but simple.

Border communities need economic opportunities, but Nigeria also needs revenue, lives and economic protection, regulatory compliance and national security. These interests are not mutually exclusive.

Atiku’s ambition to return to the presidency is legitimate. But the pursuit of that ambition should not turn border policy into a political bargaining chip.

The question Nigerians should ultimately ask is not whether the borders should be “opened”.

It is whether Atiku’s proposal would expand legitimate trade while protecting Nigeria’s economic and security interests—or simply loosen rules that exist for a political reason.

That is the real issue behind the 2027 border promise.

 

Mr Okey IBEKE is the Principal Consultant, International Trade Advisory Services Ltd

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Commentaries

NIgeria at 66: The Uncrushable Giant in the Sun

Reflection by Ibrahim Nasiru

As the dawn breaks over the West African coastline this morning, Thursday, October 1st,  2026, a sovereign milestone unfurls across the continent.

Nigeria turns 66 today.

Let the professional pessimists sound their usual annual trumpets of despair, and let the elite commentators count our structural bruises. But let no man mistake our scars for our obituary.

Six decades and six years after the Union Jack was lowered, this sprawling, kinetic, and beautiful madness we call home still stands—obstinately united, fiercely proud, and completely unbowed.

We are not just a country on a map; we are an demographic continent unto ourselves. From the rain-swept shores of the Atlantic to the wind-kissed sands of the Sahel, north and south of the Sahara, Nigeria remains the undisputed, heavy-hearted, but magnificent Giant in the Sun.

We are the most populous black nation on God’s green earth. To think that 230 million human beings, speaking over 500 distinct languages, can wake up under the same green-white-green flag every single morning and survive the tectonic pressures of modern history is not an accident—it is a daily, living miracle of resilience.

Look closely at our geography. The world marvels at how our diverse nationalities—the Hausa, Yoruba, Igbo, Ijaw, Ibibio, Kanuri, Tiv, Jukun, Fulani, Alago, Gomai, Ganawuri, Taroh, Kutep and Idoma—refuse to fit into any neat, predictable Western caricature.

We are not a monolith of sorrow. We are a kaleidoscope of unyielding human ambition. When the global economic winds howl and domestic pressures bite hard, the Nigerian does not fold. The Nigerian reinvents.

The street-vendor in Lagos, the tech-wizard in Yaba, the grain-merchant in Kano, and the resilient farmer in the valleys of Nasarawa all share the exact same DNA: an absolute refusal to be defeated by circumstances.

Our democracy is young, loud, and inherently messy. Our economic reforms are painful, complex, and currently testing the very fabric of our patience. But as the flags go up today, let us remember that the destiny of this giant does not belong to the ephemeral politicians who occupy temporary offices in Abuja or the state capitals.

The destiny of Nigeria belongs to the uncrushable spirit of the everyday citizen. We are the rhythm of Afrobeat, the intellectual weight of Nobel laureates, the raw grit of the global diaspora, and the anchor of regional stability.So, let the cynics argue in their air-conditioned rooms.

Today, we salute the market women, the youth driving the digital frontier, the labourers, and the fathers keeping the peace. We are still here. We are still giant. And our sun is nowhere near setting.

Happy 66th Independence Anniversary to the Federal Republic of Nigeria!

 

Ibrahim Nasiru lives in Abuja

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Commentaries

Unbundling Nigerian Ports: Oyetola’s Blue Economy Blueprint to End Agency Rivalry

Monday Discourse with Ibrahim Nasiru 

The recent technical discussions between the leadership of the newly transmuted Nigeria Ports Economic Regulatory Agency (NPERA) and the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) mark a critical turning point in the governance of Nigeria’s maritime sector.

Prompted by a definitive ministerial directive from the Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, Dr. Adegboyega Oyetola, the two agencies are moving to operationalize the transfer of Inland Dry Port functions from the old Nigerian Shippers’ Council architecture straight to the NPA.

For decades, Nigeria’s maritime ecosystem has been severely suffocated by overlapping institutional mandates, administrative friction, and a counterproductive confusion over who regulates commerce versus who drives infrastructure.

By enforcing this sweeping separation of port economic regulation from core operational development, the federal government is finally addressing the structural flaws that have long stopped Nigeria from becoming the dominant maritime hub of West Africa.

Under the fresh provisions of the NPERA Act 2026, particularly the critical alignment of Section 51, the administrative boundary lines are being redrawn with clinical precision.

The old regime, which forced the Shippers’ Council to simultaneously act as an economic referee and an active promoter of inland dry ports, was an unsustainable model that created inherent institutional contradictions.

You cannot effectively police a commercial market while actively building and managing its operational assets.

Shifting the promotion, development, and operational oversight of inland dry ports entirely to the NPA allows the authority to leverage its massive, existing deep-sea infrastructure and engineering competencies to rapidly scale up these hinterland Ports.

This clean realignment ensures that Inland Dry Ports stop being slow-moving administrative projects and finally become hyper-efficient logistics nodes that seamlessly extend the economic reach of our coastlines into the landlocked states of the North.

Consequently, the collaborative maturity demonstrated during the recent strategy session between NPERA Director-General, Dr. Pius Akutah, and the NPA Managing Director, Dr. Abubakar Dantsoho, signals a refreshing departure from the toxic inter-agency warfare that defined the past.

In previous dispensations, such a sweeping transfer of functions would have triggered fierce turf battles, with executives aggressively hoarding administrative powers to the detriment of national trade efficiency.

Akutah’s strategic proposal for a high-level joint committee—integrating NPERA, NPA, the National Inland Waterways Authority (NIWA), and the parent ministry, proactively tethers all moving parts to a single, accountable execution framework.

This coordinated approach is exactly what is needed to assure international shipping lines, domestic clearing agents, and private concessionaires that the transition will be frictionless, legally sound, and completely free from double-taxation trapdoors.

Ultimately, the successful execution of this structural unbundling will be the ultimate metric used to grade President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Marine and Blue Economy agenda.

If properly managed, freeing NPERA to focus strictly on economic regulation will create a fiercely competitive, transparently priced maritime marketplace that drives down the prohibitive cost of doing business at our Ports.

Simultaneously, placing the Inland Dry Ports within the NPA’s operational portfolio should accelerate cargo evacuation times, de-congest the chaotic Apapa and Tin Can corridors, and unlock the dormant multi-billion dollar trade potential of the hinterlands.

Minister Oyetola has laid down a courageous, legally backed blueprint for structural clarity. It is now up to the joint leadership of Akutah and Dantsoho to aggressively transform this institutional unbundling into a thriving, world-class economic reality.

Ibrahim Nasiru is a public affairs analyst

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Commentaries

Blue Economy Engine: Decoding unstoppable rise of Nigeria’s maritime gateways

Monday Discourse with Ibrahim Nasiru

The latest operational data from Nigeria’s maritime sector shows a significant shift in trade capacity that deserves close attention.

In a period where national economic discourse is heavily focused on foreign exchange stability and trade balance, the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) recently released its operational performance report for the second quarter of 2026.

The figures indicate clear, measurable progress across our major shipping channels.

Under the current management led by Dr. Abubakar Dantsoho, total cargo throughput at the nation’s seaports grew by 12.3% year-on-year, moving from 31.83 million metric tonnes in the second quarter of 2025 to 35.74 million metric tonnes in Q2 2026.

This growth was closely supported by a 14.4% increase in ocean-going vessel traffic, which recorded 1,201 vessel calls during the three months under review.

These statistics are notable because they reflect actual operational changes rather than mere administrative adjustments.

For decades, Nigerian Ports were held back by slow container clearing times, heavy bureaucratic red tape, and severe traffic congestion around the Lagos Ports.

The current upward trend shows that the ongoing efforts toward Port modernization, including the digital integration of the National Single Window system, are beginning to show results on the ground.

By reducing physical bottlenecks and shortening the time cargo spends at the berths, terminal operations are becoming more reliable for international shipping lines and domestic businesses alike.

A highly encouraging aspect of the Q2 2026 data is the 22% increase recorded in export-related outward cargo.

For an economy that urgently needs to diversify away from absolute reliance on crude oil revenues, this rise in export volumes shows that the policy of establishing dedicated export terminals is functioning as intended.

Local manufacturing concerns, agricultural aggregators, and non-oil exporters are finding it relatively easier to move their goods out to global markets.

Additionally, the emergence of transshipment container traffic—which grew to 29,038 TEUs this quarter from zero in the same period last year—proves that Nigeria is regaining its position as a major logistics transit hub for the West African sub-region.

However, the report also highlights a persistent structural reality that economic planners must continue to address.

Out of the 35.74 million metric tonnes of cargo handled, inward cargo or imports still accounted for the larger share at 56.8%, while outward cargo stood at 41.9%.

While the gap is closing due to the 22% export growth, it reminds us that maritime efficiency must be backed by a strong domestic production base.

The Ports can only serve as efficient gateways; the real value lies in ensuring that what leaves our shores consists of processed, value-added Nigerian goods rather than just raw agricultural products or unrefined solid minerals.

The second-quarter performance numbers show that the maritime sector is currently serving as a stable and productive engine for the nation’s broader economic goals.

It demonstrates that clear policy direction and disciplined institutional management can stabilize critical national infrastructure even during periods of global trade volatility.

As the NPA works to sustain this momentum through the rest of the year, the priority must remain on full automation, eliminating unreceipted costs at the Ports, and strengthening rail connectivity to the hinterland.

By locking in these operational gains, Nigeria is steadily turning its maritime gateways into solid pillars of long-term commercial prosperity.

Chief Ibrahim Nasiru, a public affairs analyst, writes from Abuja 

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